AUG 5 TUESDAY
Dollar Rises Against Euro on Fed Rate Outlook, Oil Decline .
The dollar rose, approaching a six- week high against the euro,
before a Federal Reserve decision today at which policy
makers may leave interest rates on hold and highlight
concerns about inflation.
The U.S. currency also traded near a seven-week peak versus
the yen after crude oil fell to a 13-week low, helping the world's
largest consumer of the fuel sustain economic growth.
Australia's dollar dropped to a three-month low after
the nation's central bank signaled borrowing costs
may be cut.
The dollar rose to $1.5528 per euro at 1:55 p.m. in Tokyo from
$1.5576 yesterday in New York. It touched $1.5515 on Aug. 1,
the strongest level since June 24. It was at 108.19 yen from
108.27 yen in New York yesterday. It touched a four-month
high of 108.58 yen on June 16.
The dollar advanced against the euro after the U.S. Commerce
Department yesterday reported consumer inflation accelerated
to 0.8 percent in June, the fastest pace since September 2005.
Also supporting the greenback, crude oil fell below $120 a barrel
for the first time since May. The euro-dollar exchange rate and
oil have had a correlation of 0.9 in the past year, according to
Bloomberg calculations. A reading of 1 would mean they
moved in lockstep.
The Fed will keep its target rate for overnight loans between
banks at 2 percent today, according to the median forecast
of economists in a separate Bloomberg News survey. The
decision will be announced at 2:15 p.m. in Washington.
Futures on the Chicago Board of Trade showed a 32 percent
chance yesterday the Fed will raise its 2 percent target rate
for overnight lending between banks by at least a quarter
point at the Federal Open Market Committee meeting on
Sept. 16, compared with 38 percent a week earlier.
The contracts showed a 65 percent chance the Fed
will increase the rate by December, almost the same
odds as a week earlier.
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