AUG 28 THURSDAY
Euro Rises for Second Day on Speculation ECB Won't Lower Rates .
The euro rose against the dollar for a second day on speculation
the region's interest-rate advantage over the U.S. will draw
investors after a European Central Bank official signaled a
cut in borrowing costs is unlikely.
The euro rose to $1.4778 at 7:18 a.m. in London from $1.4727
yesterday in New York. The currency traded at 161.05 yen
from 161.27. Against the pound, it appreciated 0.3 percent
to 80.49 pence, near a record high of 80.99 pence on
April 16.
Traders reduced bets that the central bank will cut its 4.25
percent main refinancing rate next year. The implied yield
on the Euribor futures contract expiring in September 2009
rose 11 basis points, or 0.11 percentage point, to 4.43 percent
yesterday.
Crude oil rose for a fourth day to reach $119.10 a barrel on
forecasts Tropical Storm Gustav will strengthen as it enters
the Gulf of Mexico, home to 26 percent of U.S. production.
The euro-dollar exchange rate and oil had a correlation of
0.9 in the past year, according to Bloomberg calculations.
Declines in the dollar may be limited before revisions to the
second-quarter gross domestic product report from the
Commerce Department today. The U.S. economy
expanded an annualized 2.7 percent, faster than
preliminary data showing 1.9 percent growth, according
to a Bloomberg survey of 78 economists.
The Dollar Index traded on ICE Futures in New York declined
0.4 percent to 76.779 from 77.051 late in New York yesterday.
It reached an eight-month high of 77.619 on Aug. 26.
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